I know it's a bit early, but a thread on 2channel asked who might realistically be in the front line for the third single. I thought the answers were interesting. Here are some of them:
Berika - Neru - Techi - Zuumin - Risa
Risa - Suzumon - Techi - Zuumin - KobaYui
Suzumon - Zuumin - Techi - Neru (2nd line: Risa - Mona - Sugai - Berika - Akanen; "Shida stands out in second line, Neru is hidden there; current position is poor balance for Zuumin")
Berika - Neru - Techi - Zuumin - KobaYui (the 1st front w/Neru for Suzumon)
Sugai - Neru - Techi - Zuumin - Berika
Koike - Sugai - Techi - Akanen - Nanako
Mona - Risa - Techi - Sugai - Berika (2nd line: Nanako - KobaYui - Zuumin - Neru - Suzumon - Moriya - Koike)
Berika - Neru - Techi - Zuumin - Sugai
Mona - Techi - Risa
Zuumin - Kakizaki - Techi - Kageyama - Suzumoto
Neru - KobaYui - Techi - Risa - Zuumin
Neru - Zuumin - Techi - Suzumoto - Sugai (the members who had spoken lines in the 2nd single)
Suzumon - Techi - Zuumin (2nd line: Sugai - Akanen - Berika - Mona - Risa)
Sugai - Akanen - Techi - Mona - Risa
People had clearly decided that to be realistic, they had to include Techi at centre. Few of these are purely "who I like." They take account of what management might actually do. Seeing Neru up front so often surprised me, but she's clearly popular with both management and the public.
What do I think? In a combination of what I want and what I think might happen:
Sugai - Suzumon - Techi - Zuumin - KobaYui
I expect this next single will be more the energetic SaiMajo/KataMira type and will need decent dancers. Sugai and Zuumin are good enough and the other three are excellent. Fuu-chan and Nijika aren't popular enough. Neru will be co-centring the Hiraganas, so needn't be in the main front -- but I wouldn't be surprised, since she continues to gain popularity. As do Sugai and Suzumon.
I also think there is at least a chance that this is the moment they go to two 16-member senbatsu. I think the 4th or 5th single is more likely, but this one is possible.
Why is it that most seem certain that Mona is moving back a row :-(
ReplyDelete@Unknown -- I wondered that myself. She seems to have blossomed as a personality in the past couple of months. The 2channel thread is now longer, and Mona appears a bit more, but still in a minority of suggestions. http://rio2016.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/keyakizaka46/1472374157/
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